Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 7.460881 8.549220 9.758176 11.203663 12.888857 14.796078 17.124642
2025-02-09 6.170084 7.611186 9.346996 11.603193 14.474873 18.029739 22.797509
2025-02-16 5.120208 6.653035 8.608486 11.307588 14.970110 19.814736 26.787645
2025-02-23 4.452081 6.032657 8.145187 11.208348 15.591213 21.719595 31.084406
2025-03-02 3.942841 5.536278 7.752307 11.104649 16.127155 23.499809 35.379314
2025-03-09 3.518047 5.095603 7.367187 10.934486 16.502201 25.039191 39.470749
2025-03-16 3.147424 4.685952 6.970909 10.681346 16.689962 26.274799 43.205563
2025-03-23 3.004307 4.597477 7.038036 11.137199 18.028430 29.474877 50.631015
2025-03-30 2.809731 4.406128 6.920194 11.272773 18.841711 31.885038 57.015618
2025-04-06 2.599906 4.168113 6.700421 11.207314 19.291172 33.702388 62.561150
2025-04-13 2.404634 3.934620 6.463281 11.081038 19.607746 35.302257 67.903964
2025-04-20 2.312330 3.864286 6.491731 11.420205 20.801381 38.659527 77.225086
2025-04-27 2.205155 3.761316 6.458200 11.651046 21.834658 41.875166 86.858528
2025-05-04 2.139851 3.725731 6.539646 12.103359 23.350667 46.250519 99.742669
2025-05-11 1.973637 3.493743 6.242795 11.796466 23.304998 47.399720 105.566566
2025-05-18 1.850814 3.331081 6.059675 11.692709 23.661695 49.441040 113.805002
2025-05-25 1.738842 3.179433 5.883793 11.584077 23.991881 51.460462 122.329298
2025-06-01 1.628745 3.022564 5.684325 11.405805 24.147444 53.101114 130.182281
2025-06-08 1.518623 2.857220 5.454572 11.140622 24.077251 54.205159 136.830017
2025-06-15 1.496017 2.862343 5.565684 11.618183 25.756848 59.702186 156.308799
2025-06-22 1.440401 2.796712 5.526496 11.760231 26.666088 63.434814 171.601052
2025-06-29 1.368748 2.692945 5.399473 11.691645 27.059505 65.915167 183.749043
2025-07-06 1.296662 2.583101 5.250992 11.559342 27.280364 67.976891 195.049113